Skip to Content

A statistical look at each MLB franchise’s biggest play


AP Baseball Writer

Yordan Alvarez’s homer that won Game 1 of the ALDS for Houston. J.T. Realmuto’s shot that provided the winning margin for Philadelphia in Game 1 of the World Series. Which of these memorable moments was more critical? There’s actually a way to measure that. It’s a stat called championship win probability added from Baseball Reference. The idea is to determine how much a particular play increased or decreased a team’s chance of winning that year’s World Series. According to cWPA, Alvarez’s hit improved Houston’s chance of winning it all by 8.58%. Realmuto’s improved Philadelphia’s chance by 10.75%.

Article Topic Follows: AP National Sports

Jump to comments ↓

Author Profile Photo

Associated Press


KIFI Local News 8 is committed to providing a forum for civil and constructive conversation.

Please keep your comments respectful and relevant. You can review our Community Guidelines by clicking here

If you would like to share a story idea, please submit it here.

Skip to content