What we know on Day 31 of the US and Israel’s war with Iran

By Jessie Yeung, Issy Ronald, CNN

(CNN) — Even as regional leaders scramble to find diplomatic off-ramps to the war, the main players – Israel, the US and Iran – are doubling down on their positions.

President Donald Trump has claimed Iran is almost ready for a deal, even as Tehran warns it will “rain fire” on American troops if they launch a ground invasion. At the same time, Trump says he is still considering seizing one of the Iran’s key oil hubs.

Here’s what to know on Day 31.

What are the main headlines?

• Washington’s demands: Trump said Iran had agreed to “most of” the 15-point list of demands that the US conveyed to end the war, after “having very good meetings, both directly and indirectly.” Tehran did not immediately accept the 15-point plan last week. He claimed that Iran has given the US “20 boatloads of oil” that will be shipped on Monday to “prove they’re serious.”
• Iran’s oil: In an interview with the Financial Times on Sunday, Trump raised the prospect of the US taking Iran’s oil, saying that would be his “favorite thing.” He also told FT he is still considering whether to seize Iran’s Kharg Island, a key fuel transit hub rather than an oil field, adding that US forces would likely need to remain there for an extended period.
• Iran’s warning: Iran’s parliament speaker accused the US of “secretly planning a ground invasion” while floating negotiations, and said Tehran’s forces are “waiting” for US troops. The USS Tripoli — carrying 3,500 US service members — has arrived in the Middle East, after CNN reported earlier this month that a Marine Expeditionary Unit would be deployed. Such units have traditionally been used for missions that require ship-to-shore movements.
• Diplomatic efforts: Pakistan says it is prepared to host talks between the US and Iran “in coming days,” after what it called a “very productive” meeting with leaders from Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Turkey to discuss efforts to de-escalate the war.
• Iran’s assertion: A senior Iranian security official told CNN that Tehran will determine when the war ends — pushing back on US assessments that the conflict could be wrapped up within weeks.
• Energy costs: Oil prices climbed after Tehran’s warning against any US ground invasion, with Brent crude rising 2.47% to $107.92. Asian stocks fell on Monday. Asia is the first continent to suffer from the effects of an oil shortage, but Europe, Africa and the US are next, a JPMorgan report warned.

What’s happening on the ground?

• Infrastructure strikes: Infrastructure came under attack over the weekend, as both sides engaged in a tit-for-tat pattern of strikes. An Indian worker was killed in Kuwait on Monday after a building at a power and water desalination plant was damaged in an Iranian attack, reported Kuwait News Agency. Over the weekend, two major aluminum facilities, one in Bahrain and one in the UAE, were also attacked. And a huge blaze broke out an industrial site in Israel after an attack. Meanwhile in Iran, Israeli strikes damaged two steel plants on Friday. Buildings at an engineering university in Tehran were also damaged by a strike, geolocated videos show.
• Lebanon border: Israel is pushing further into southern Lebanon, where Israeli forces are exchanging fire with Hezbollah. Israeli forces are occupying the land south of the Litani River, an area it has called on Lebanese civilians to evacuate. Human rights workers have warned that Israel’s demolition of river crossings will cut off tens of thousands of Lebanese residents from “essential lifelines.”
• US aircraft destroyed: An Iranian strike on an air base in Saudi Arabia appears to have destroyed a vital US Air Force E-3 Sentry aircraft. Images of the wrecked aircraft began appearing on social media over the weekend, which CNN geolocated to the Prince Sultan Air Base. The loss could damage US abilities to spot incoming Iranian threats, analysts say.
• Civilian toll: One-fifth of Lebanon’s population have been displaced by Israel’s operations there in the last three weeks, UNICEF said. The war has forced an average of 19,000 children every day to flee their homes, leaving them traumatized, the organization added.
• Houthi intervention: Meanwhile, Israel said early Monday it had intercepted two drones from Yemen, after the Iran-backed Houthi rebels waded into the conflict for the first time since it began. This comes after Israel’s military carried out strikes on the Iranian capital Tehran late Sunday, claiming it is just days away from hitting all the targets in Iran that it classifies a “top priority.”

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